Jan 072010
 
Sun and Earth

Sun and EarthA recent Leger Marketing poll has revealed that 53% of Canadians believe that human-induced generation of greenhouse gases is a key driver of climate change and without immediate and significant action, the planet as we know it is in peril.

This shows a drastic need for immediate education of those 53% who apparently have been misinformed and because of the misinformation are urging the government to take drastic measures which have the potential of destroying our economy and threatening not only our way of life but our freedom as well.

What I hope to do is take on the falsehoods of the climate change fear-mongers in stages.  I want to challenge their science, specifically the conclusions of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, I want to show how acting irrationally out of fear and panic to false information can do more harm to humans and our planet more than any real climate change could do, and I want to hold accountable those individuals and groups, especially the United Nations, for their scare-mongering and out-right lying to the world.

Today I’ll just address some of the poor science the IPCC and Al Gore have been using to push their anti-human agendas.

Very quickly those pushing for the reduction of CO2 have taken this line of reasoning”

Global temperatures are rising,

CO2 is a green house gas,

Man produces CO2,

Therefore the climate changes or global warming they say we are experiencing is due to Man.

Their final conclusion and marketing point is that the science is settled, irrefutable and agreed to by all scientists.  Anyone who disagrees is disreputable, a climate change denier, a heretic.

I want to tackle that particular marketing point first.  A group of independent scientists which used to call themselves the Science and Environmental Policy Project but who now call their group the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change have produced a report with a petition appended to it.  The petition said the following:

We urge the United States government to reject the global warming agreement that was written in Kyoto, Japan in December, 1997, and any other similar proposals. The proposed limits on greenhouse gases would harm the environment, hinder the advance of science and technology, and damage the health and welfare of mankind.

There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth.

The petition was signed by 31,478 American scientists.  Compare this to the fewer than100 individuals who had a direct hand in crafting the United Nations IPCC report.

While truth should not be a popularity contest this clearly demonstrates that the UN’s and Al Gore’s assertion that nobody refutes the science is patently false.

Regarding the science itself, the report by the NIPCC took apart every assertion made by the United Nations government picked scientists.  Here are some of the highlights:

Global temperatures rise and fall all the time.  In fact global temperate have been seen to fall for decades even though we see CO2 levels rise during the same time. The earth is currently nearing the end of a 10,000 year period of global warming.  About every 100,000 years there is about a 10,000 year period of warming clearly documented to be due to the changing radiance from the sun due to both the natural cycles of the sun itself but more importantly by several cycles the earth goes through as it orbits the sun and spins on its axis.  These cycles are called the Milankovitch cycles, the combined effects of the earth’s orbital shape or eccentricity, it’s axial tilt or obliquity, its axial precession, its apsidal precession, and its orbital inclination.  All of these characteristics of earth’s movement in its orbit are well documented and are known to drive earth’s climate from ice age to warming to ice age again.

As for the CO2, yes CO2 is a greenhouse gas but it is an insignificant one compared to water vapour which accounts for the vast majority of any green house effect.  Also the amount of man-made green house gas is again insignificant to the amount of CO2 release by nature.  The release and capture of CO2 by earth’s oceans account for the vast majority of CO2 levels in the atmosphere.  Even then we must remember that CO2 is only a very small component of the atmosphere being only about .05% of the total volume.

All greenhouse models show an increasing warming trend with altitude in the troposphere, peaking around 10 km in altitude.  However the temperature data from balloons gives the opposite result, no increasing warming, but rather a slight cooling with altitude.  This is clear evidence that any warming at the surface is not due to greenhouse gases including man-made CO2.

Anyone inconvenienced by Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” would remember his graphs of global temperature changes over the past 400,000 years and his graph of CO2 changes over the same period.  Did you notice that he showed the graphs separately, the temperature graph higher than the CO2 graph?  He did this because he was hiding his own inconvenient truth.  If he had superimposed one graph over the other everyone would have noticed that the CO2 levels follow the temperature changes with a gap of about 800 years.  Yes, temperature changes precede CO2 changes.  CO2 changes are caused by temperature changes and not the other way around.  And the temperature changes themselves are caused by the variability in solar radiation.

The reason there is an 800 year gap is that it takes that long for the oceans to heat up or cool down and when the oceans heat up and cool down they release or absorb CO2 respectively.   This one fact alone should cause anybody to dismiss Al Gore’s hype and the United Nations’ anti-human fear mongering.

The report by the Nongovernmental IPCC goes on to cover all aspects of climate science making the following conclusions:

  • The evidence that the cause of current climate warming is anthropogenic is very week.
  • There is very robust evidence that the causes of current warming are natural.
  • The computer forecasting of future climate change the UN relies on are unreliable.
  • Sea-level rise is not significantly affected by rise in greenhouse gases.

And what I find to be particularly interesting are some of the report’s final conclusions:

  • Higher concentrations of CO2 are more likely to be beneficial to plant and animal life and to human health than lower concentrations.

And,

  • The economic effects of modest warming are likely to be positive and beneficial to human health.  There would be longer growing seasons in temperate climates, benefitting agriculture and forestry industries and lower heating bills.  One study estimated that there would be 41,000 fewer people who would die each year from respiratory and circulatory diseases and that the overall benefit to the US economy alone would be $104.8 billion in 1990 dollars.

How should we hold accountable those nations among us who would send billions to other countries to prevent them from prospering and using fossil fuels to grow their economies much as Canada did?  We should throw out of office any politician like Prime Minister Stephen Harper who propagates the false belief that man-made CO2 is going to destroy the world.  This is a perfectly good example of why we should not trust the United Nations and why Canada should leave it.

(Originally aired on Just Right Show #134, January 7, 2010.  You can listen to the show by visiting http://wwww.justrightmedial.org.)